Every pick we’ve published, graded at the price it fired.
Since March 26, 2026, SportsGods has published 1,952 decided picks at +5.2% ROI (1098-854-155, 56.2% win rate) — each one graded at the price captured when the signal fired, not a best case found afterwards.
Last graded pick: August 24, 2026. 89.0% of picks are graded against a real captured book price; the remainder fall back to −110. Figures on this page are rebuilt from combined_perf.json every time the site deploys.
By sport
| Sport | Record | Win rate | ROI | Decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 533-324 | 62.2% | +12.1% | 857 |
| MLB | 495-492 | 50.2% | -2.9% | 987 |
| NHL | 51-29 | 63.7% | +20.9% | 80 |
| WNBA | 19-9 | 67.9% | +30.9% | 28 |
By signal stream
| Stream | Record | Win rate | ROI | Decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player-props engine | 469-252-143 | 65.0% | +14.5% | 721 |
| Team signals (sides & totals) | 318-328-11 | 49.2% | -4.8% | 646 |
By feed
| Feed | Record | Win rate | ROI | Decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp signals | 787-580-154 | 57.6% | +5.7% | 1367 |
| Analyst game reports | 385-330-7 | 53.8% | +4.5% | 715 |
The parts that lose
We publish the streams that lose. MLB at -2.9% (495-492); our team signals (sides & totals) stream at -4.8% (318-328-11) — those are inside the headline number above, not removed from it.
A record that only ever goes up is a record with a filter on it. The point of grading at the fire-time price is that the number cannot be improved after the fact by choosing a better line, dropping a bad sport, or restarting the count.
Closing line value
Mean CLV is positive but the 95% CI includes zero — the stream has NOT been shown to beat its close. Published as diagnostics, not as a performance claim.
Moneyline CLV: mean +0.119 percentage points over n=432, 95% CI [-0.075, +0.312]. Because that interval contains zero, this is reported as a diagnostic, not as evidence of an edge. How this is computed.
How the counting works
Counting is per bet: when several signals fire on the same game, side and market, it counts once and is graded from the earliest alert. Picks are logged at publication time and graded after the event. Pushes and voids are shown as the third number in each record and are excluded from ROI. Full rules, including the limitations, are on the methodology page.